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Hybrid machine learning and physics-based model for estimating lettuce (Lactuca sativa) growth and resource consumption in aeroponic systems.

Scientific reports · 2 Jul 2025 · 10.1038/s41598-025-02763-9

Abstract

As the global population is expected to reach 10.3 billion by the mid-2080s, optimizing agricultural production and resource management is crucial. Climate change and environmental degradation further complicate these challenges, impacting crop productivity and food security. Traditional farming methods struggle with efficiently managing nutrients and water while ensuring high-quality products, leading to resource wastage and food safety concerns. This study aims to develop a hybrid model combining machine learning and physics-based techniques to predict fresh weight, leaf area, nitrate levels, and water consumption in lettuce grown in aeroponic systems, thereby enhancing resource management and product quality. We integrated a physics-based model with machine learning algorithms to create a dynamic hybrid framework. The model was validated with real-time data from aeroponic systems, showing good predictive performance, particularly for fresh weight and total leaf area. In contrast, predictions of nitrate content and water consumption were less accurate, due in part to smaller training datasets and limitations of the physics-based component under soilless conditions. Despite these challenges, the hybrid model offers a promising solution for optimizing controlled environment agriculture, addressing critical challenges in modern agriculture by improving efficiency and sustainability.

Plant phenotyping relevance

植物の生体重と葉面積という形態・成長形質を推定するハイブリッド計算モデルを開発し、実データで検証しており、形質推定手法が研究の中心である。

abstractThis study aims to develop a hybrid model combining machine learning and physics-based techniques to predict fresh weight, leaf area, nitrate levels, and water consumption in lettuce grown in aeroponic systems
abstractThe model was validated with real-time data from aeroponic systems, showing good predictive performance, particularly for fresh weight and total leaf area.

Code and data availability

The paper's phenotype/training data (fresh weight, leaf area, nitrate content, water consumption from aeroponic lettuce) are not publicly deposited; the Data availability statement says they are available only upon request from the corresponding author. No public code, models, or datasets are mentioned.

No evidence-backed public reproduction asset is currently recorded.

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