Multi-scale reconstruction of snow-avalanche frequency and vegetation structure using dendrogeomorphology, satellite imagery, and UAV photogrammetry

Abstract

This study presents a multi-scale framework for reconstructing snow avalanche (SA) frequency and assessing vegetation structural responses in data-scarce mountain environments. The approach integrates dendrogeomorphological reconstructions, satellite-based spectral disturbance detection, and UAV-based Structure-from-Motion (SfM) photogrammetry, complemented by field data, and was applied to two avalanche paths in the Piatra Craiului Mountains (Southern Carpathians, Romania). Tree ring analyses allowed reconstruction of spatially explicit minimum avalanche chronologies for the 1980–2025 period. These reconstructions were combined with a DEM-based upslope algorithm to derive spatially variable avalanche return periods, revealing the highest frequencies in release and upper-track sectors and progressively longer return periods toward lower-track zones. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to assess the surface footprint of a reconstructed avalanche event in 2018. Among the tested spectral indices, the Moisture Stress Index (MSI) showed the most spatially coherent response, while the combined MSI-NDMI-NBR approach reduced index-specific noise. UAV-SfM photogrammetry supports high-resolution mapping of vegetation structure and surface states. Vegetation was classified using a machine-learning-based object-oriented approach (Random Forest) integrating spectral, geometric, structural, and textural parameters. The multi-parameter feature set yielded very high classification accuracy (Cohen’s Kappa ≈ 0.95). Across avalanche return-period gradients, both UAV-derived and field-based metrics showed a systematic associations between tree height and avalanche frequency, whereas tree age and stem diameter exhibited more variable, path-dependent responses. The proposed framework provides a transferable basis for linking avalanche disturbance regimes with vegetation structure and surface stability in mountain landscapes lacking long-term observational records.

Plant phenotyping relevance

UAV-SfMと機械学習による植生構造・樹高の高解像度推定が研究枠組みの主要部分であり、分類精度も評価しているため、植物状態の画像ベース表現型計測として含める。

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